Friday, July 17, 2015

Merijn Knibbe — The 10% of GDP Greek *surplus* on its services trade balance

Yesterday, as part of an attempt to raise the level of discussion about the Eurozone problems, I spent the better part of ten minutes to download a 98 page Excel-file from Eurostat containing data about the last sixteen years of European Union macro economic history. It turns out that Greece has a surplus of almost 10% of GDP on its ‘international trade in services’ account (among other things: shipping, tourism). That’s a lot by whatever standard and surely when compared with 2% of GDP German deficit. In the EU it is only topped by tiny Malta, Cyprus and Luxembourg. It is caused by the fact that Greece is not only home to one world-class economic sector (tourism) but even to two (the other being shipping), which is a lot for a country the size of Greece.… 
But the point: There is a discussion going on about the ‘competitivety’ of countries. Often, current account data are used to prove that countries are ‘competitive’ or ‘uncompetitive’. Which is a bogus discussion. Large current account deficits (or surpluses) are not a sign of ‘competitivety’ of a country but a sign of unbalanced macro-economic spending in the country itself as well as in its trade partners.…
Real-World Economics Review Blog
The 10% of GDP Greek *surplus* on its services trade balance
Merijn Knibbe
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