Saturday, November 1, 2014

Goldman's Jan Hatzius — We Disagree With The Fed

"[W]e disagree with the committee’s view on labor market slack," Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius wrote in a note to clients. "While the unemployment rate is now below 6% and the explicit phrase in the FOMC statement that '... underutilization of labor resources is gradually diminishing ...' is factually correct, the implicit notion that underutilization is no longer 'significant' — the term used in the July and September statement — looks inconsistent with the employment and wage data." 
In his argument, Hatzius highlighted two labor market indicators: the labor force participation rate (LFPR) and the rate of involuntary part-time employment.…
It's not until early to mid-2016 when Hatzius sees labor market slack actually disappearing.
Business Insider
Goldman: We Disagree With The Fed
Sam Ro

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